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| The Risk Probability Analysis on Design Combination of Wind Wave and Tidal Level in Design of Sea Dike |
| YANG Xing-1, LIU Zhi-Long-2, WU Su-Shu-1, LI Zhi-Qing-1, LI Chao-Fang-2 |
| (1. Jiangsu Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210017, China; 2. Shenzhen Water Resources Planning & Design Institute, Shenzhen 518001, Guangdong, China) |
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Abstract Wind wave and tidal level are the crucial factors in the design of sea dike project. To balance the engineering cost and engineering safety, an approach was applied to design the combination of wind wave and tidal level with risk consideration. A combined distribution function was built by using Clayton Copula, thereafter, the wind wave and wind level combination risk design model was established. Observed hydrological data on Shenzheng Chiwan area from 1971 to 2002 were analyzed to obtain the combined risk probability of wind wave and tidal level. The results indicate that the probability is low when high wind wave reaching high tidal level, and the model puts the risk probability into consideration, which provides a reasonable method for coastal sea dike design.
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Received: 16 December 2011
Published: 30 October 2012
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