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Bayesian Reliability Assessment for Numerically Controlled Machine Tools with Imperfect Repair |
WANG Zhiming1,YANG Jianguo2 |
(1. School of Mechanical Engineering, Huaihai Institute of Technology, Lianyungang 222005, Jiangsu, China; 2. School of Mechanical Engineering,
Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200240, China) |
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Abstract A Bayesian reliability assessment method of small sample failure data for numerically controlled machine tools with imperfect repair was proposed. The selection of prior and posterior distributions for virtual age model of generalized renewal process was discussed. Bayesian point and interval estimates of model parameters and reliability indices including cumulative failure number, failure intensity and reliability etc. were obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. A real example was analyzed, whose results show that Bayesian reliability analysis method has a higher accuracy than maximum likelihood estimate because of its incorporating prior information.
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Received: 26 August 2013
Published: 26 August 2013
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[1] |
REN Lina,RUI Zhiyuan,LIU Jun,LEI Chunli. Whole Lifecycle Reliability Assessment of Multiple NC Machine Tools with Minimal Repair[J]. J. Shanghai Jiaotong Univ.(Sci.) , 2015, 49(01): 19-23. |
[2] |
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[3] |
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