Journal of Diagnostics Concepts & Practice >
Prognostic value of PET/CT characteristics and combined IPI in follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma
Received date: 2025-01-06
Accepted date: 2025-03-24
Online published: 2025-08-19
Objective The international prognostic index (IPI) has limited ability to distinguish risk levels in patients with follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (FL/DLBCL). This study aims to investigate the differences in imaging features between FL/DLBCL and DLBCL, and to integrate baseline PET/CT characteristics with clinical parameters to improve the prognostic efficiency of the IPI in FL/DLBCL patients. Methods A total of 65 consecutive patients with pathologically confirmed FL/DLBCL treated at our hospital between January 2015 and January 2022 were collected (follow-up duration: 2.4-113.0 months), and a 1∶ 1 matched group of patients diagnosed with DLBCL during the same period was selected (follow-up duration: 2.9-91.6 months). PET/CT features and survival differences between the two groups were compared. Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) in FL/DLBCL patients, which were incorporated into a nomogram. The predictive value of the model was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results Compared with DLBCL, FL/DLBCL patients had a greater maximum distance between two lesions (Dmax) on PET/CT images (55.07 cm vs.33.82 cm, P=0.031) and a greater number of total lesions throughout the body (7 vs. 4, P=0.002). The IPI score could identify FL/DLBCL patients with low risk (IPI score 0-1) (P=0.010), but failed to identify patients with intermediate-low risk, intermediate-high risk or high risk (IPI score 2, 3 and 4-5) (P=0.743). Cox regression analysis confirmed that Dmax > 73.08 cm (HR = 3.151, 95% CI 1.253-7.922, P = 0.015) and IPI score 2-5 (HR = 3.285, 95% CI 1.208-8.932, P=0.020) were independent risk factors for PFS in FL/DLBCL patients. On this basis, a nomogram was constructed to demonstrate that the new model's hazard discrimination capability (P<0.001) significantly outperformed the IPI (P=0.052),with a Cindex of 0.701. The likelihood ratio test, Wald test and score test all demonstrated highly significant statistical significance (χ2 values were 13.27, 12.88, and 15.11, respectively, and P values were 0.001, 0.002, and <0.001, respectively). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) value predicted by the new model for the 2-year PFS rate in FL/DLBCL patients was 0.770, which was higher than the AUC value of 0.702 for IPI; The AUC value of 0.827 for predicting 2-year overall survival (OS) rate was also significantly better than the AUC value of 0.745 for IPI (P<0.05). Conclusion FL/DLBCL exhibits more disseminated characteristics on PET/CT images compared to DLBCL. Additionally, Dmax is a highly promising parameter for prognostic evaluation in FL/DLBCL, and the nomogram constructed based on Dmax >73.08 cm and IPI score of 2 to 5 demonstrates excellent discriminatory ability and predictive accuracy in predicting FL/DLBCL survival outcomes.
LI Zhuohan , HUANG Xinyun , GUO Rui , YI Hongmei , XU Pengpeng , WU Zhifang , LI Biao . Prognostic value of PET/CT characteristics and combined IPI in follicular lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma[J]. Journal of Diagnostics Concepts & Practice, 2025 , 24(02) : 178 -186 . DOI: 10.16150/j.1671-2870.2025.02.009
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