组织工程与重建外科杂志 ›› 2025, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (1): 40-.

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唇腭裂术前呼吸道感染及手术预后相关影响因素与预测模型构建

  

  • 出版日期:2025-02-25 发布日期:2025-03-06

Influencing factors and prediction model construction of preoperative respiratory tract infection and postoperative prognosis of cleft lip and palate#br#

  • Online:2025-02-25 Published:2025-03-06

摘要:

目的 探索唇腭裂术前呼吸道感染及手术预后相关影响因素,并构建预测模型。方法 选取 2021年 8月至2024 年 8 月接受治疗的先天性唇腭裂患儿 324 例,根据入院后发生呼吸道感染的情况分为感染组(46 例)和未感染组(278例);根据手术预后情况将参与研究患儿分为预后良好组(256例)和预后不良组(68例)。采用Logistic回归分析术前呼吸道感染、手术预后情况的独立危险因素,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析预测变量准确性;采用Pearson相关系数分析术前呼吸道感染与手术预后情况的相关性。结果 术前呼吸道感染多因素结果显示:CD4+/CD8+异常、父母有吸烟史、住院期间陪护人员呼吸道感染、夜间未开窗通风、饭前患儿及家属偶尔洗手等因素是患儿术前呼吸道感染的独立危险因素(P<0.05);ROC曲线分析显示:CD4+/CD8+异常情况、父母吸烟史、住院期间陪护人员有无呼吸道感染、夜间是否开窗通风、饭前患儿及家属洗手情况,以及联合预测对于评估术前呼吸道感染等均具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。手术预后情况多因素结果显示:完全性唇腭裂、营养不良、晚期修复、使用传统手术方法、医生低年资、偶尔进行语言功能康复训练、术后感染等因素是患儿手术预后的独立危险因素(P<0.05);ROC曲线分析显示:唇腭裂程度、营养状况、手术时机、手术方法的选择、医生年资、语言功能康复训练、是否术后感染,以及联合预测对于评估手术预后情况均具有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Pearson 相关系数显示:术前呼吸道感染与手术预后情况显著正相关(r=0.789,P<0.05)。结论 术前呼吸道感染与手术预后情况具有显著相关性,CD4+/CD8+异常、父母有吸烟史、住院期间陪护人员呼吸道感染、夜间未开窗通风、饭前患儿及家属偶尔洗手等因素是患儿术前呼吸道感染的独立危险因素,完全性唇腭裂、营养不良、晚期修复、使用传统手术方法、医生低年资、偶尔进行语言功能康复训练、术后感染等因素是患儿手术预后的独立危险因素。针对以上因素,应采取针对性措施,确保手术安全与预后康复。

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Abstract:

Objective To explore the influencing factors of preoperative respiratory tract infection and postoperativeprognosis of cleft lip and palate, and to construct a prediction model. Methods A total of 324 children with congenital cleftlip and palate who received treatment from August 2021 to August 2024 were selected. According to the occurrence ofrespiratory tract infection after admission, the patients were divided into infection group (46 cases) and non-infection group(278 cases). According to the postoperative prognosis, the children involved in the study were divided into good prognosisgroup (256 cases) and poor prognosis group (68 cases). Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of preoperative respiratory tract infection and postoperative prognosis, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to analyze the accuracy of predictive variables. Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between preoperative respiratory tract infection and postoperative prognosis. Results The multivariate results of preoperative respiratory tract infection showed that abnormal CD4+/CD8+, smoking history of parents, respiratory tract infection of caregivers during hospitalization, no window ventilation at night, and occasional hand washing of children and their families before meals were independent risk factors for preoperative respiratory tract infection in children (P<0.05).ROC curve analysis showed that CD4+/CD8+abnormalities, parental smoking history, respiratory tract infection during hospitalization, window ventilation at night, hand washing of children and their families before meals, and combined prediction were statistically significant for evaluating preoperative respiratory tract infection (P<0.05). Multivariate results of postoperative prognosis showed that complete cleft lip and palate, malnutrition, late repair, use of traditional surgical methods, junior doctors, occasional language function rehabilitation training, and postoperative infection were independent risk factors for postoperative prognosis (P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the degree of cleft lip and palate, nutritional status, timing of surgery, choice of surgical methods, doctor’s seniority, language function rehabilitation training, postoperative infection and combined prediction were statistically significant for evaluating postoperative prognosis (P<0.05). Pearson correlation coefficient showed that there was a significant positive correlation between preoperative respiratory tract infection and postoperative prognosis (r=0.789,P<0.05). Conclusion Preoperative respiratory infections are significantly correlated with postoperative prognosis. Abnormal CD4+/CD8+, parents with a history of smoking, respiratorytract infection during hospitalization, no window ventilation at night, children and their families before meals, and occasionally washing hands are independent risk factors for preoperative respiratory tract infection in children. Complete cleft lip and palate, malnutrition, late repair, use of traditional surgical methods, junior doctors, occasional language function rehabilitation training, and postoperative infection are independent risk factors for postoperative prognosis in children.Regarding the above factors, targeted measures should be taken to ensure surgical safety and prognosis rehabilitation.

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