Application of Improved Regression Tree in Wind Turbine Clearance Prediction

  • ZHOU Shiyang ,
  • XU Shengwen ,
  • LV Pin ,
  • et al
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  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China; 2. Yazhou Bay Institute of Deepsea Science and Technology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Sanya 572024, Hainan, China; 3.Goldwind Science Technology Co., Ltd., Jiangsu Goldwind Software Technology Co., Ltd., Wuxi 214028, Jiangsu, China

Online published: 2026-03-20

Abstract

Accurate clearance monitoring is critical to the safe and stable operation of wind turbines. However, existing clearance-monitoring systems are often costly and suffer from limited reliability. To address these challenges, this study proposes a deep-learning-based surrogate-model workflow for clearance prediction. High-fidelity simulations of a custom turbine are first performed using OpenFAST to generate a high-quality dataset that mitigates the high noise and low accuracy inherent in conventional measurement approaches. Feature engineering is then applied to reduce model training complexity. For the classification and regression-tree (CART) model, we introduced wind-speed-segmented training and a sample-weighting scheme that emphasizes large-deformation cases, thereby jointly improving overall predictive accuracy and peak-value fidelity. Results show that the modified CART model achieves, on average, a 7.51% reduction in RMSE; the proportion of positive prediction errors exceeding 0.5m and 1.0m are reduced by 17.8% and 35.4%, respectively. On a 100-minute test covering cut-in to cut-out wind speeds, the Segmented-Weighted model attains a maximum positive peak prediction error of 0.402m, an overall NRMSE of 1.49%, and proportions of positive errors greater than 0.5m and 1.0m of 10.2% and 1.69%, respectively. The proposed workflow provides an efficient, reliable, and cost-effective approach for wind-turbine clearance monitoring.

Cite this article

ZHOU Shiyang , XU Shengwen , LV Pin , et al . Application of Improved Regression Tree in Wind Turbine Clearance Prediction[J]. Ocean Engineering Equipment and Technology, 2026 , 13(1) : 58 -68 . DOI: 10.12087/oeet.2095-7297.2026.01.07

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