Original article

Global and Chinese burden of chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes and associated risk factors from 1990 to 2021

  • SHI Manman ,
  • MA Yuhua ,
  • ZHENG Jinxin ,
  • KE Yanrong ,
  • WANG Yuxin ,
  • LIU Jian ,
  • WANG Weiming
Expand
  • 1. Department of Nephrology, Kunshan Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital Affiliated to Yangzhou University, Jiangsu Kunshan 215300, China
    2. Department of Nephrology, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China
    3. School of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200025, China.

Received date: 2025-01-28

  Accepted date: 2025-06-09

  Online published: 2025-06-25

Abstract

Objective To assess the burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) caused by type 2 diabetes (T2D) (CKD-T2D) among populations of different ages, genders, regions, and socio-demographic index (SDI) levels globally and in China from 1990 to 2021. Methods Based on data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of CKD-T2D in 204 countries and regions were analyzed, with absolute numbers and their 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) calculated. Results From 1990 to 2021, the global burden of CKD-T2D increased significantly. In 2021, there were 2 012 024 (95%UI: 1 857 800-2 154 288) new cases, marking a 167.2% (95%UI: 153.5%-182.6%) increase from 1990. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) reached 23.07 per 100 000 (95%UI: 21.40-24.72), an increase of 21.0% (15.0%-27.5%) since 1990. Regional analysis showed that North Africa and the Middle East had the highest ASIR (42.802 per 100 000). Compared to 1990, China's CKD-T2D incidence rose significantly to 354,157 cases (95%UI: 321 265-382 784), with crude incidence increasing by 177.6% (95%UI: 154.8%- 205.5%) and ASIR rising slightly by 7.8% [95%UI: (-0.1%) to 17.8%]. For other indicators, crude rates increased whereas age-standardized rates declined. In 2021, CKD-T2D incidence was highest among people aged 65-74 worldwide [364 163 new cases in ages 65-69 (95%UI: 272 571-475 468) and 366 045 in ages 70-74 (95%UI: 286 728-459 891)], with males bearing a higher burden than females [65-69: males 187 097 (95%UI: 140 064-243 571), females 177 066 (95%UI: 132 338-231 769); 70-74: males 187 216 (95%UI: 146 377-234 997), females 178 830 (95%UI: 140 938-224 801)]. SDI stratification indicated that from 1990 to 2021, high-SDI regions had the highest ASIR with a continuous upward trend, while low-SDI regions had the highest mortality rates with limited improvement. Hyperglycemia, obesity, high-calorie diets, and hypertension were the main risk factors for CKD-T2D. Conclusion CKD-T2D remains a major public health issue, with a particularly high disease burden among elderly males and in low- and middle-income countries. While crude rates have risen in China, age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and DALYs have declined.

Cite this article

SHI Manman , MA Yuhua , ZHENG Jinxin , KE Yanrong , WANG Yuxin , LIU Jian , WANG Weiming . Global and Chinese burden of chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes and associated risk factors from 1990 to 2021[J]. Journal of Diagnostics Concepts & Practice, 2025 , 24(03) : 268 -278 . DOI: 10.16150/j.1671-2870.2025.03.005

References

[1] JHA R, LOPEZ-TREVINO S, KANKANAMALAGE H R, et al. Diabetes and renal complications: an overview on pathophysiology, biomarkers and therapeutic interventions[J]. Biomedicines, 2024, 12(5):1098.
[2] OOI Y G, SARVANANDAN T, HEE N K Y, et al. Risk prediction and management of chronic kidney disease in people living with type 2 diabetes mellitus[J]. Diabetes Metab J, 2024, 48(2):196-207.
[3] VAN RAALTE D H, BJORNSTAD P, CHERNEY D Z I, et al. Combination therapy for kidney disease in people with diabetes mellitus[J]. Nat Rev Nephrol, 2024, 20(7):433-446.
[4] DING X, LI X, YE Y, et al. Epidemiological patterns of chronic kidney disease attributed to type 2 diabetes from 1990-2019[J]. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne), 2024,15:1383777.
[5] Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Global health data exchange[EB/OL]. 2021. http://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-results-tool.
[6] GBD 2021 Diseases and Injuries Collaborators. Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021[J]. Lancet,2024, 403(10440):2133-2161.
[7] GBD 2021 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021[J]. Lancet, 2024, 403(10440):2100-2132.
[8] Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data resources[EB/OL]. 2024. https://ghdx.healthdata.org/gbd-2021.
[9] Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) CKD Work Group. KDIGO 2024 clinical practice guideline for the evaluation and management of chronic kidney disease[J]. Kidney Int, 2024, 105(4S):S117-S314.
[10] GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators. Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021[J]. Lancet, 2024, 403(10440):2162-2203.
[11] SOBAMOWO H, PRABHAKAR S S. The kidney in aging: physiological changes and pathological implications[J]. Prog Mol Biol Transl Sci, 2017,146:303-340.
[12] LYTVYN Y, BJORNSTAD P, VAN RAALTE D H, et al. The new biology of diabetic kidney disease-mechanisms and therapeutic implications[J]. Endocr Rev, 2020, 41(2):202-231.
[13] CLOTET-FREIXAS S, ZASLAVER O, KOTLYAR M, et al. Sex differences in kidney metabolism may reflect sex-dependent outcomes in human diabetic kidney disease[J]. Sci Transl Med, 2024, 16(737):eabm2090.
[14] PIANI F, MELENA I, TOMMERDAHL K L, et al. Sex-related differences in diabetic kidney disease: A review on the mechanisms and potential therapeutic implications[J]. J Diabetes Complications, 2021, 35(4):107841.
[15] LOEFFLER I, ZILLER N. Sex-related aspects in diabetic kidney disease-an update[J]. J Clin Med, 2023, 12(8):2834.
[16] BOWE B, XIE Y, LI T, et al. Changes in the US burden of chronic kidney disease from 2002 to 2016: An analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study[J]. JAMA Netw Open, 2018, 1(7):e184412.
[17] SARAN R, ROBINSON B, ABBOTT K C, et al. US Renal Data System 2016 annual data report: epidemiology of kidney disease in the United States[J]. Am J Kidney Dis, 2017, 69(3Suppl 1):A7-A8.
[18] SINDHU D, SHARMA G S, KUMBALA D. Management of diabetic kidney disease: where do we stand? A narrative review[J]. Medicine (Baltimore), 2023, 102(13):e33366.
[19] NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC). Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults[J]. Lancet, 2024, 403(10431):1027-1050.
[20] ZU C, LIU M, SU X, et al. Association of body weight time in target range with the risk of kidney outcomes in patients with overweight/obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus[J]. Diabetes Care, 2024, 47(3):371-378.
[21] RUZE R, LIU T, ZOU X, et al. Obesity and type 2 diabetes mellitus: connections in epidemiology, pathogenesis, and treatments[J]. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne), 2023,14:1161521.
[22] ROSENFELD R M, KELLY J H, AGARWAL M, et al. Dietary interventions to treat type 2 diabetes in adults with a goal of remission: An expert consensus statement from the American College of Lifestyle Medicine[J]. Am J Lifestyle Med, 2022, 16(3):342-362.
[23] GALLARDO-GóMEZ D, SALAZAR-MARTíNEZ E, ALFONSO-ROSA R M, et al. Optimal dose and type of physical activity to improve glycemic control in people diagnosed with type 2 diabetes: A systematic review and meta-analysis[J]. Diabetes Care, 2024, 47(2):295-303.
[24] GBD 2017 Causes of Death Collaborators. Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Di-sease Study 2017[J]. Lancet, 2018, 392(10159):1736-1788.
[25] NCD Countdown 2030 collaborators. NCD Countdown 2030: worldwide trends in non-communicable disease mortality and progress towards Sustainable Development Goal target 3.4[J]. Lancet, 2018, 392(10152):1072-1088.
[26] NUGENT R, BERTRAM M Y, JAN S, et al. Investing in non-communicable disease prevention and management to advance the Sustainable Development Goals[J]. Lancet, 2018, 391(10134):2029-2035.
Outlines

/