Original article

Association between glucose metabolism and risk of all-cause mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in middle-aged and elderly populations

  • ZHANG Jiwei ,
  • WU Xiaoqiong ,
  • CUI Jinhuang ,
  • YU Chunming ,
  • LI Yanyun
Expand
  • 1. Department of Prevention and Healthcare,Liantang Town Community Health Service Center, Qingpu District, Shanghai 201715,China
    2. Department of Prevention and Healthcare, Baihe Town Community Health Service Center, Qingpu District, Shanghai 201709,China
    3. Department of Health Manamgement, Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai 200336,China

Received date: 2025-01-08

  Online published: 2025-07-08

Abstract

Objective To explore the association between different glucose metabolism status and death from all causes, cardio-cerebrovascular diseases in middle-aged and elderly population. Methods Totally 981 community residents aged 35 years and above in Qingpu district, Shanghai were enrolled in 2009 and a 15-year follow-up study of epidemiological survey on type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) among them were conducted. Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause mortality, cardio-cerebrovascular mortality and their 95%CI in middle-aged and elderly population with different glucose metabolism status. Results The cumulative follow-up period was 14 464.01 person-years. During this period, 114 subjects died, and all-cause death density were 788.16/100 000 person-years. In which, 30 patients were dead from cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, and its death density was 207.41/100 000 person-years. Compared with the population with normal sugar metabolism, the risk of all-cause death in patients with prediabetes increased 77%, all- cause death and cardio- cerebrovascular diseases cause death in T2DM patients increased 155% (HR=2.55, 95%CI: 1.53-4.25) and 299% (HR=3.99, 95%CI:1.52-10.45), respectively. Stratified by age, the risk of cardio - cerebrovascular disease caused death in people under 60 years with prediabetes was higher than that in people with normal glucose metabolism (HR=6.91, 95%CI:1.19-40.07), and the risk of all - cause death and cardio - cerebrovascular death in T2DM patient over 60 years was higher than that in people with normal glucose metabolism (HR=2.64,95%CI:1.42-4.90;HR=4.87,95%CI:1.62-14.62). Conclusions Prediabetes and T2DM were important risk factors for all - cause death and cardio - cerebrovascular diseases death in middle-aged and elderly people. Targeted classified prevention and early intervention of blood sugar should be implemented to reduce all-cause death and cardio-cerebrovascular diseases death.

Cite this article

ZHANG Jiwei , WU Xiaoqiong , CUI Jinhuang , YU Chunming , LI Yanyun . Association between glucose metabolism and risk of all-cause mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular mortality in middle-aged and elderly populations[J]. Journal of Internal Medicine Concepts & Practice, 2025 , 20(02) : 120 -125 . DOI: 10.16138/j.1673-6087.2025.02.04

References

[1] Sun H, Saeedi P, Karuranga S, et al. IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global, regional and country-level diabetes prevalence estimates for 2021 and projections for 2045[J]. Diabetes Res Clin Pract, 2022, 183: 109119.
[2] Pei J, Li Y, Yang Y, et al. Prevalence trends and disease burden of diabetes and prediabetes in Chinese adults of Shanghai[J]. J Diabetes, 2023, 15(7): 583-596.
[3] Huang Y, Cai X, Mai W, et al. Association between prediabetes and risk of cardiovascular disease and all cause mortality: systematic review and meta-analysis[J]. BMJ, 2016, 355: i5953.
[4] Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network. Global burden of disease study 2019[EB/OL]. 2020. https://www.thelancet.com/infographics-do/gbd-2019.
[5] Iona A, Bragg F, Guo Y, et al. Adiposity and risks of vascular and non-vascular mortality among Chinese adults with type 2 diabetes: a 10-year prospective study[J]. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care, 2022, 10(1): e002489.
[6] 中华医学会糖尿病学分会. 中国2型糖尿病防治指南(2017年版)[J]. 中华糖尿病杂志, 2018, 10(1): 4-67.
[7] 中国高血压防治指南修订委员会,高血压联盟(中国,中华医学会心血管病学分会中国医师协会高血压专业委员会, 等. 中国高血压防治指南( 2018年修订版)[J]. 中国心血管杂志, 2019, 24(1): 24-56.
[8] 中国成人血脂异常防治指南修订联合委员会. 中国成人血脂异常防治指南(2016年修订版)[J]. 中华全科医师杂志, 2017, 16(1): 15-35.
[9] 中国超重肥胖医学营养治疗专家共识编写委员会. 中国超重/肥胖医学营养治疗专家共识(2016年版)[J]. 中华糖尿病杂志, 2016, 8(9): 525-540.
[10] Makaroff LE. The need for international consensus on prediabetes[J]. Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol, 2017, 5(1):5-7.
[11] Cefalu WT, Petersen MP, Ratner RE. The alarming and rising costs of diabetes and prediabetes[J]. Diabetes Care, 2014, 37(12): 3137-3138.
[12] Piller C. Dubious diagnosis[J]. Science, 2019, 363(6431):1026-1031.
[13] Nguyen BM, Lin KW, Mishori R. Public health implications of overscreening for carotid artery stenosis, prediabetes, and thyroid cancer[J]. Public Health Rev, 2018, 39: 18.
[14] Rao Kondapally Seshasai S, Kaptoge S, Thompson A, et al. Diabetes mellitus, fasting glucose, and risk of cause-specific death[J]. N Engl J Med, 2011, 364(9): 829-841.
[15] Wang L, Gao P, Zhang M, et al. Prevalence and ethnic pattern of diabetes and prediabetes in China in 2013[J]. JAMA, 2017, 317(24): 2515-2523.
[16] Roth GA, Mensah GA, Johnson CO, et al. Global burden of cardiovascular diseases and risk factors, 1990-2019: update from the GBD 2019 study[J]. J Am Coll Cardiol, 2020, 76(25): 2982-3021.
[17] 田园梦, 井丽, 阎涵, 等. 辽宁省2017-2019年60岁及以上老年人群糖尿病患病情况及其与死亡风险的相关性分析[J]. 中华流行病学杂志, 2024, 45(7): 941-946.
[18] Bjornstad P, Drews KL, Caprio S, et al. Long-term complications in youth-onset type 2 diabetes[J]. N Engl J Med, 2021, 385(5): 416-426.
[19] Barbiellini Amidei C, Fayosse A, Dumurgier J, et al. Association between age at diabetes onset and subsequent risk of dementia[J]. JAMA, 2021, 325(16): 1640-1649.
[20] Zhao M, Song L, Sun L, et al. Associations of type 2 diabetes onset age with cardiovascular disease and mortality: the Kailuan study[J]. Diabetes Care, 2021, 44(6):1426-1432.
[21] Morton JI, Liew D, McDonald SP, et al. The association between age of onset of type 2 diabetes and the long-term risk of end-stage kidney disease: a national registry study[J]. Diabetes Care, 2020, 43(8): 1788-1795.
[22] Li Y, Tian J, Hou T, et al. Association between age at diabetes diagnosis and subsequent incidence of cancer: a longitudinal population-based cohort[J]. Diabetes Care, 2024, 47(3): 353-361.
Outlines

/